Ethiopia / House of Peoples' Representatives / vote of 1 June 2026

Ethiopia's ruling party won 438 of 486 seats. Another 61 seats never got a vote.

Turnout was reported at 95.7%. Tigray, 38 seats, did not vote at all. Guess the ruling party's share of parliament, then test how far its majority could fall.

547 seats, one picture

How safe is the majority?

A majority needs 274 seats. Move the slider to hand seats from the Prosperity Party to its rivals and see when it falls below the line.

Even if rivals had won every one of the 61 unfilled seats, the ruling party would still hold 438 of 547, or 80.1%. It takes a swing of 165 seats from its 438 to put it below 274.

Where the 61 empty seats are

Click a region to outline its empty seats in the picture above (2026 view).

RegionSeatsNo voteVoted / not

The Tigray gap is now moving. According to Wikipedia, citing The Reporter (16 Oct 2026), a new interim regional administration has been set up there, with a NEBE-supervised regional election intended by April 2027. Until then, the region's 38 seats stay empty.

2021 against 2026

20212026
Registered voters39,395,76854,057,861
Reported turnout89.07%95.70%
Ruling party seats457438
Seats filled473486
Ruling party, share of filled seats96.6%90.1%
Ruling party, share of all 54783.5%80.1%
Seats with no vote on the day7461

Derived shares are my arithmetic from the seat counts. Party vote shares for 2026 were not available in the sources I could open; for 2021 the ruling party took 89.18% of votes (30,018,782).

The German broadcaster DW, reporting via AFP and Reuters on 21 June 2026, said the Prosperity Party ran 461 candidates against 293 for the best-represented rival, Ezema, and stood unopposed in 64 constituencies. More than 40 parties ran, most without funding.

Sources and caveats