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New Zealand votes 7 November: Opportunity gets 0 seats at 4.9% and 6 seats at 5.0%

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New Zealand's 5% threshold as a cliff. Drag the Opportunity Party vote across the line on the latest six polls and watch the seats, the blocs and the majority change. Full 2023 rerun checks the seat maths against the official result. Electorate split is an editable assumption.

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