Accessibility rules say a tap target should be at least 24 px, ideally 44 px. Guess what that costs, then tap 36 targets and get your own number.
You alternate between two bars, as fast as you can. How much longer does a tap take on a 16 px bar than on a 44 px bar?
Slide to your guess, then start.
WCAG 2.2 requires pointer targets of at least 24 by 24 CSS pixels (level AA, with spacing exceptions) and recommends 44 by 44 (level AAA). Your four test widths are 16, 24, 44 and 72 px, so one sits below the minimum, one exactly on it, one at the enhanced size and one above it.
Caveat: this is a quick one-axis test on your own device and pointer; four conditions give a rough fit, not a lab measurement.